EFL Championship · Live

Derby County — Stoke City

Replay kickoff 2026-10-17 14:00:00Z

Suggested outcomeHOME

Best odds3.10

Original score0.0

Enhanced score52.7

Fair probability33.44%

Best-price implied32.26%

Expected value3.67%

Movement from opening19.23%

Anomaly / confidence56 / 98

Best bookmakerBetfair

Current bookmaker odds

63 rows

Bookmaker	Outcome	Odds	Implied	Fair (de-vigged)
888sport	Home	2.88	34.7%	31.9%
888sport	Draw	3.25	30.8%	28.2%
888sport	Away	2.30	43.5%	39.9%
Bet Victor	Home	2.90	34.5%	32.3%
Bet Victor	Draw	3.30	30.3%	28.4%
Bet Victor	Away	2.38	42.0%	39.3%
Betano (UK)	Home	2.90	34.5%	32.3%
Betano (UK)	Draw	3.30	30.3%	28.4%
Betano (UK)	Away	2.38	42.0%	39.3%
Betfair	Home	3.10	32.3%	31.9%
Betfair	Draw	3.45	29.0%	28.6%
Betfair	Away	2.50	40.0%	39.5%
Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.90	34.5%	32.3%
Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.30	30.3%	28.4%
Betfair Sportsbook	Away	2.38	42.0%	39.3%
Betfred (UK)	Home	2.80	35.7%	33.7%
Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.50	28.6%	27.0%
Betfred (UK)	Away	2.40	41.7%	39.3%
Betway	Home	2.80	35.7%	33.3%
Betway	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.5%
Betway	Away	2.38	42.0%	39.2%
BoyleSports	Home	2.80	35.7%	32.6%
BoyleSports	Draw	3.30	30.3%	27.7%
BoyleSports	Away	2.30	43.5%	39.7%
Casumo	Home	2.70	37.0%	34.4%
Casumo	Draw	3.45	29.0%	26.9%
Casumo	Away	2.40	41.7%	38.7%
Coral	Home	2.87	34.8%	32.9%
Coral	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.8%
Coral	Away	2.40	41.7%	39.3%
Grosvenor	Home	2.70	37.0%	34.3%
Grosvenor	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.2%
Grosvenor	Away	2.40	41.7%	38.5%
Ladbrokes	Home	2.87	34.8%	32.9%
Ladbrokes	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.8%
Ladbrokes	Away	2.40	41.7%	39.3%
LeoVegas	Home	2.95	33.9%	32.4%
LeoVegas	Draw	3.45	29.0%	27.7%
LeoVegas	Away	2.40	41.7%	39.9%
LiveScore Bet	Home	2.65	37.7%	34.6%
LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.40	29.4%	26.9%
LiveScore Bet	Away	2.38	42.0%	38.5%
Matchbook	Home	3.15	31.7%	31.5%
Matchbook	Draw	3.45	29.0%	28.8%
Matchbook	Away	2.50	40.0%	39.7%
Paddy Power	Home	2.88	34.7%	31.9%
Paddy Power	Draw	3.25	30.8%	28.2%
Paddy Power	Away	2.30	43.5%	39.9%
Sky Bet	Home	2.90	34.5%	32.1%
Sky Bet	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.4%
Sky Bet	Away	2.30	43.5%	40.5%
Smarkets	Home	3.10	32.3%	31.9%
Smarkets	Draw	3.45	29.0%	28.6%
Smarkets	Away	2.50	40.0%	39.5%
Unibet (UK)	Home	2.90	34.5%	32.4%
Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.6%
Unibet (UK)	Away	2.35	42.6%	40.0%
Virgin Bet	Home	2.65	37.7%	34.7%
Virgin Bet	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.0%
Virgin Bet	Away	2.40	41.7%	38.3%
William Hill	Home	2.90	34.5%	31.9%
William Hill	Draw	3.30	30.3%	28.0%
William Hill	Away	2.30	43.5%	40.2%

Odds movement timeline

555 captures

Captured UTC	Bookmaker	Outcome	Odds	Marker
11:26:22	Ladbrokes	Draw	3.40	update
11:26:22	Ladbrokes	Away	2.40	update
11:26:22	Ladbrokes	Home	2.87	update
11:26:21	BoyleSports	Home	2.80	update
11:26:21	Unibet (UK)	Away	2.35	update
11:26:21	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.40	update
11:26:21	Unibet (UK)	Home	2.90	update
11:26:21	BoyleSports	Draw	3.30	update
11:26:21	BoyleSports	Away	2.30	update
11:26:20	Betfair	Draw	3.45	update
11:26:20	Betfair	Away	2.50	update
11:26:20	Matchbook	Away	2.50	update
11:26:20	Matchbook	Draw	3.45	update
11:26:20	Matchbook	Home	3.15	update
11:26:20	Betfair	Home	3.10	update
11:26:20	Smarkets	Away	2.50	update
11:26:20	Smarkets	Draw	3.45	update
11:26:20	Smarkets	Home	3.10	update
11:26:20	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.38	update
11:26:20	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.40	update
11:26:20	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.65	update
11:26:20	Grosvenor	Away	2.40	update
11:26:20	Grosvenor	Draw	3.40	update
11:26:20	Grosvenor	Home	2.70	update
11:26:19	Betfair Sportsbook	Away	2.38	update
11:26:19	Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.30	update
11:26:19	Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.90	update
11:26:19	Coral	Away	2.40	update
11:26:19	Coral	Draw	3.40	update
11:26:19	Coral	Home	2.87	update
11:26:19	888sport	Away	2.30	update
11:26:19	888sport	Draw	3.25	update
11:26:19	888sport	Home	2.88	update
11:26:19	Betfred (UK)	Away	2.40	update
11:26:19	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
11:26:19	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.80	update
11:26:19	Virgin Bet	Away	2.40	update
11:26:19	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.40	update
11:26:19	Virgin Bet	Home	2.65	update
11:26:12	Betano (UK)	Away	2.38	update
11:26:12	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.30	update
11:26:12	Betano (UK)	Home	2.90	update
11:25:58	Paddy Power	Away	2.30	update
11:25:58	Paddy Power	Draw	3.25	update
11:25:58	Paddy Power	Home	2.88	update
11:25:58	Betway	Away	2.38	update
11:25:58	Betway	Draw	3.40	update
11:25:58	Betway	Home	2.80	update
11:25:57	Sky Bet	Away	2.30	update
11:25:57	Sky Bet	Draw	3.40	update
11:25:57	Sky Bet	Home	2.90	update
11:25:57	Casumo	Away	2.40	update
11:25:57	Casumo	Draw	3.45	update
11:25:57	Casumo	Home	2.70	update
11:25:41	William Hill	Away	2.30	update
11:25:41	William Hill	Draw	3.30	update
11:25:41	William Hill	Home	2.90	update
11:24:57	LeoVegas	Away	2.40	update
11:24:57	LeoVegas	Draw	3.45	update
11:24:57	LeoVegas	Home	2.95	update
11:24:24	Bet Victor	Away	2.38	update
11:24:24	Bet Victor	Draw	3.30	update
11:24:24	Bet Victor	Home	2.90	update
22:59:47	Smarkets	Away	2.48	update
22:59:47	Smarkets	Draw	3.55	update
22:59:47	Smarkets	Home	3.10	update
22:59:45	Matchbook	Away	2.48	update
22:59:45	Matchbook	Draw	3.55	update
22:59:45	Matchbook	Home	3.10	update
22:59:45	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.32	update
22:59:45	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.40	update
22:59:45	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.65	update
22:59:36	LeoVegas	Away	2.40	update
22:59:36	LeoVegas	Draw	3.45	update
22:59:36	LeoVegas	Home	2.90	update
22:59:34	BoyleSports	Away	2.30	update
22:59:34	BoyleSports	Draw	3.40	update
22:59:34	BoyleSports	Home	2.75	update
22:59:31	Coral	Away	2.37	update
22:59:31	Coral	Draw	3.40	update
22:59:31	Coral	Home	2.87	update
22:59:31	Betfair	Away	2.48	update
22:59:31	Betfair	Draw	3.55	update
22:59:31	Betfair	Home	3.10	update
22:59:20	Unibet (UK)	Away	2.35	update
22:59:20	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.40	update
22:59:20	Unibet (UK)	Home	2.90	update
22:59:18	Betfred (UK)	Away	2.30	update
22:59:18	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
22:59:18	Betfred (UK)	Home	3.00	update
22:59:18	Grosvenor	Away	2.40	update
22:59:18	Grosvenor	Draw	3.40	update
22:59:18	Grosvenor	Home	2.70	update
22:59:17	Ladbrokes	Away	2.37	update
22:59:17	Ladbrokes	Draw	3.40	update
22:59:17	Ladbrokes	Home	2.87	update
22:59:17	William Hill	Away	2.30	update
22:59:17	William Hill	Draw	3.30	update
22:59:17	William Hill	Home	2.80	update
22:59:17	888sport	Away	2.30	update
22:59:17	888sport	Draw	3.30	update
22:59:17	888sport	Home	2.80	update
22:59:17	Sky Bet	Away	2.30	update
22:59:17	Sky Bet	Draw	3.40	update
22:59:17	Sky Bet	Home	2.90	update
22:59:17	Virgin Bet	Away	2.33	update
22:59:17	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.40	update
22:59:17	Virgin Bet	Home	2.65	update
22:59:06	Bet Victor	Away	2.38	update
22:59:06	Bet Victor	Draw	3.30	update
22:59:06	Bet Victor	Home	2.90	update
22:59:03	Betway	Away	2.30	update
22:59:03	Betway	Draw	3.50	update
22:59:03	Betway	Home	2.80	update
22:59:02	Betfair Sportsbook	Away	2.30	update
22:59:02	Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.30	update
22:59:02	Betfair Sportsbook	Home	3.00	update
22:58:49	Casumo	Away	2.40	update
22:58:49	Casumo	Draw	3.45	update
22:58:49	Casumo	Home	2.70	update
22:58:21	Betano (UK)	Away	2.38	update
22:58:21	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.30	update
22:58:21	Betano (UK)	Home	2.90	update
22:57:54	Paddy Power	Away	2.30	update
22:57:54	Paddy Power	Draw	3.30	update
22:57:54	Paddy Power	Home	2.90	update
10:55:45	BoyleSports	Away	2.30	update
10:55:45	BoyleSports	Draw	3.40	update
10:55:45	BoyleSports	Home	2.75	update
10:55:43	Unibet (UK)	Away	2.35	update
10:55:43	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.40	update
10:55:43	Unibet (UK)	Home	2.90	update
10:55:43	LeoVegas	Away	2.40	update
10:55:43	LeoVegas	Draw	3.40	update
10:55:43	LeoVegas	Home	2.90	update
10:55:43	Casumo	Away	2.38	update
10:55:43	Casumo	Draw	3.45	update
10:55:43	Casumo	Home	2.75	update
10:55:41	Matchbook	Away	2.48	update
10:55:41	Matchbook	Draw	3.60	update
10:55:41	Matchbook	Home	3.10	update
10:55:41	Ladbrokes	Away	2.40	update
10:55:41	Ladbrokes	Draw	3.30	update
10:55:41	Ladbrokes	Home	2.80	update
10:55:41	William Hill	Away	2.45	update
10:55:41	William Hill	Draw	3.30	update
10:55:41	William Hill	Home	2.75	update
10:55:41	Betfair	Away	2.48	update
10:55:41	Betfair	Draw	3.60	update
10:55:41	Betfair	Home	3.10	update
10:55:40	888sport	Away	2.40	update
10:55:40	888sport	Draw	3.25	update
10:55:40	888sport	Home	2.75	update
10:55:29	Sky Bet	Away	2.38	update
10:55:29	Sky Bet	Draw	3.30	update
10:55:29	Sky Bet	Home	2.90	update
10:55:28	Smarkets	Away	2.48	update
10:55:28	Smarkets	Draw	3.50	update
10:55:28	Smarkets	Home	3.00	update
10:55:13	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.28	update
10:55:13	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.35	update
10:55:13	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.70	update
10:55:13	Virgin Bet	Away	2.30	update
10:55:13	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.35	update
10:55:13	Virgin Bet	Home	2.70	update
10:55:13	Grosvenor	Away	2.38	update
10:55:13	Grosvenor	Draw	3.40	update
10:55:13	Grosvenor	Home	2.75	update
10:55:12	Betano (UK)	Away	2.38	update
10:55:12	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.30	update
10:55:12	Betano (UK)	Home	2.90	update
10:54:59	Betfred (UK)	Away	2.40	update
10:54:59	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.40	update
10:54:59	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.88	update
10:54:48	Betway	Away	2.30	update
10:54:48	Betway	Draw	3.50	update
10:54:48	Betway	Home	2.80	update
10:54:20	Coral	Away	2.45	update
10:54:20	Coral	Draw	3.40	update
10:54:20	Coral	Home	2.87	update
10:54:10	Bet Victor	Away	2.38	update
10:54:10	Bet Victor	Draw	3.30	update
10:54:10	Bet Victor	Home	2.90	update
10:54:07	Paddy Power	Away	2.38	update
10:54:07	Paddy Power	Draw	3.30	update
10:54:07	Paddy Power	Home	2.90	update
22:43:49	888sport	Away	2.40	update
22:43:49	888sport	Draw	3.25	update
22:43:49	888sport	Home	2.75	update
22:43:46	Matchbook	Away	2.50	update
22:43:46	Matchbook	Draw	3.45	update
22:43:46	Matchbook	Home	3.10	update
22:43:46	Smarkets	Away	2.48	update
22:43:46	Smarkets	Draw	3.40	update
22:43:46	Smarkets	Home	3.00	update
22:43:35	Betfair	Away	2.50	update
22:43:35	Betfair	Draw	3.45	update
22:43:35	Betfair	Home	3.10	update
22:43:35	BoyleSports	Away	2.25	update
22:43:35	BoyleSports	Draw	3.40	update
22:43:35	BoyleSports	Home	2.70	update
22:43:34	Betfred (UK)	Away	2.40	update
22:43:34	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.40	update
22:43:34	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.88	update
22:43:32	Betway	Away	2.30	update
22:43:32	Betway	Draw	3.50	update
22:43:32	Betway	Home	2.80	update
22:43:25	Sky Bet	Away	2.40	update
22:43:25	Sky Bet	Draw	3.30	update
22:43:25	Sky Bet	Home	2.80	update
22:43:21	LeoVegas	Away	2.38	update
22:43:21	LeoVegas	Draw	3.45	update
22:43:21	LeoVegas	Home	2.95	update
22:43:20	Ladbrokes	Away	2.40	update
22:43:20	Ladbrokes	Draw	3.30	update
22:43:20	Ladbrokes	Home	2.80	update
22:43:19	Coral	Away	2.45	update
22:43:19	Coral	Draw	3.40	update
22:43:19	Coral	Home	2.87	update
22:43:19	Virgin Bet	Away	2.32	update
22:43:19	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.40	update
22:43:19	Virgin Bet	Home	2.65	update
22:42:49	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.30	update
22:42:49	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.40	update
22:42:49	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.65	update
22:42:49	Casumo	Away	2.40	update
22:42:49	Casumo	Draw	3.50	update
22:42:49	Casumo	Home	2.70	update
22:42:48	William Hill	Away	2.40	update
22:42:48	William Hill	Draw	3.25	update
22:42:48	William Hill	Home	2.75	update
22:42:48	Grosvenor	Away	2.38	update
22:42:48	Grosvenor	Draw	3.45	update
22:42:48	Grosvenor	Home	2.70	update
22:42:06	Betano (UK)	Away	2.38	update
22:42:06	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.30	update
22:42:06	Betano (UK)	Home	2.88	update
22:41:55	Paddy Power	Away	2.40	update
22:41:55	Paddy Power	Draw	3.30	update
22:41:55	Paddy Power	Home	2.80	update