EFL Championship · Live

Watford — Burnley

Replay kickoff 2026-10-10 14:00:00Z

Suggested outcomeHOME

Best odds3.20

Original score0.0

Enhanced score67.6

Fair probability32.37%

Best-price implied31.25%

Expected value3.58%

Movement from opening10.34%

Anomaly / confidence100 / 98

Best bookmakerMatchbook

Current bookmaker odds

60 rows

Bookmaker	Outcome	Odds	Implied	Fair (de-vigged)
888sport	Home	2.60	38.5%	35.7%
888sport	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.3%
888sport	Away	2.50	40.0%	37.1%
Bet Victor	Home	2.62	38.2%	36.0%
Bet Victor	Draw	3.50	28.6%	27.0%
Bet Victor	Away	2.55	39.2%	37.0%
Betano (UK)	Home	2.62	38.2%	36.0%
Betano (UK)	Draw	3.50	28.6%	27.0%
Betano (UK)	Away	2.55	39.2%	37.0%
Betfair	Home	2.82	35.5%	35.1%
Betfair	Draw	3.60	27.8%	27.5%
Betfair	Away	2.64	37.9%	37.5%
Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.75	36.4%	34.4%
Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.8%
Betfair Sportsbook	Away	2.50	40.0%	37.8%
Betfred (UK)	Home	2.62	38.2%	36.0%
Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.60	27.8%	26.2%
Betfred (UK)	Away	2.50	40.0%	37.8%
Betway	Home	2.62	38.2%	35.8%
Betway	Draw	3.50	28.6%	26.8%
Betway	Away	2.50	40.0%	37.5%
BoyleSports	Home	2.50	40.0%	36.5%
BoyleSports	Draw	3.60	27.8%	25.4%
BoyleSports	Away	2.40	41.7%	38.1%
Casumo	Home	2.75	36.4%	34.0%
Casumo	Draw	3.45	29.0%	27.1%
Casumo	Away	2.40	41.7%	38.9%
Coral	Home	2.60	38.5%	36.7%
Coral	Draw	3.60	27.8%	26.5%
Coral	Away	2.60	38.5%	36.7%
Grosvenor	Home	2.70	37.0%	34.1%
Grosvenor	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.1%
Grosvenor	Away	2.38	42.0%	38.7%
LeoVegas	Home	2.65	37.7%	35.9%
LeoVegas	Draw	3.55	28.2%	26.8%
LeoVegas	Away	2.55	39.2%	37.3%
LiveScore Bet	Home	2.75	36.4%	33.7%
LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.3%
LiveScore Bet	Away	2.38	42.0%	39.0%
Matchbook	Home	2.82	35.5%	35.1%
Matchbook	Draw	3.60	27.8%	27.5%
Matchbook	Away	2.64	37.9%	37.5%
Paddy Power	Home	2.70	37.0%	34.5%
Paddy Power	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.4%
Paddy Power	Away	2.45	40.8%	38.1%
Sky Bet	Home	2.70	37.0%	35.1%
Sky Bet	Draw	3.50	28.6%	27.1%
Sky Bet	Away	2.50	40.0%	37.9%
Smarkets	Home	2.80	35.7%	35.2%
Smarkets	Draw	3.60	27.8%	27.4%
Smarkets	Away	2.64	37.9%	37.4%
Unibet (UK)	Home	2.65	37.7%	35.8%
Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.50	28.6%	27.1%
Unibet (UK)	Away	2.55	39.2%	37.2%
Virgin Bet	Home	2.75	36.4%	33.8%
Virgin Bet	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.4%
Virgin Bet	Away	2.40	41.7%	38.8%
William Hill	Home	2.60	38.5%	35.7%
William Hill	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.3%
William Hill	Away	2.50	40.0%	37.1%

Odds movement timeline

1845 captures

Captured UTC	Bookmaker	Outcome	Odds	Marker
11:54:57	William Hill	Draw	3.40	update
11:54:57	William Hill	Away	2.50	update
11:54:57	William Hill	Home	2.60	update
11:54:55	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.75	update
11:54:55	Smarkets	Away	2.64	update
11:54:55	Smarkets	Draw	3.60	update
11:54:55	Smarkets	Home	2.80	update
11:54:55	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.40	update
11:54:55	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.38	update
11:54:54	Matchbook	Away	2.64	update
11:54:54	Matchbook	Draw	3.60	update
11:54:54	Matchbook	Home	2.82	update
11:54:54	Betway	Away	2.50	update
11:54:54	Betway	Draw	3.50	update
11:54:54	Betway	Home	2.62	update
11:54:54	Betfair Sportsbook	Away	2.50	update
11:54:54	Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.40	update
11:54:54	Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.75	update
11:54:54	Casumo	Away	2.40	update
11:54:54	Casumo	Draw	3.45	update
11:54:54	Casumo	Home	2.75	update
11:54:54	LeoVegas	Away	2.55	update
11:54:54	LeoVegas	Draw	3.55	update
11:54:54	LeoVegas	Home	2.65	update
11:54:53	Virgin Bet	Away	2.40	update
11:54:53	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.40	update
11:54:53	Virgin Bet	Home	2.75	update
11:54:53	Betfair	Away	2.64	update
11:54:53	Betfair	Draw	3.60	update
11:54:53	Betfair	Home	2.82	update
11:54:44	Unibet (UK)	Away	2.55	update
11:54:44	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
11:54:44	Unibet (UK)	Home	2.65	update
11:54:36	Grosvenor	Away	2.38	update
11:54:36	Grosvenor	Draw	3.40	update
11:54:36	Grosvenor	Home	2.70	update
11:54:36	888sport	Away	2.50	update
11:54:36	888sport	Draw	3.40	update
11:54:36	888sport	Home	2.60	update
11:54:36	Betfred (UK)	Away	2.50	update
11:54:36	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.60	update
11:54:36	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.62	update
11:54:19	Coral	Away	2.60	update
11:54:19	Coral	Draw	3.60	update
11:54:19	Coral	Home	2.60	update
11:54:08	BoyleSports	Away	2.40	update
11:54:08	BoyleSports	Draw	3.60	update
11:54:08	BoyleSports	Home	2.50	update
11:54:01	Bet Victor	Away	2.55	update
11:54:01	Bet Victor	Draw	3.50	update
11:54:01	Bet Victor	Home	2.62	update
11:53:58	Betano (UK)	Away	2.55	update
11:53:58	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
11:53:58	Betano (UK)	Home	2.62	update
11:53:47	Paddy Power	Away	2.45	update
11:53:47	Paddy Power	Draw	3.40	update
11:53:47	Paddy Power	Home	2.70	update
11:53:10	Sky Bet	Away	2.50	update
11:53:10	Sky Bet	Draw	3.50	update
11:53:10	Sky Bet	Home	2.70	update
23:44:32	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.28	update
23:44:32	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.30	update
23:44:32	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.70	update
23:44:30	Betfair	Away	2.52	update
23:44:30	Betfair	Draw	3.60	update
23:44:30	Betfair	Home	3.00	update
23:44:29	Betano (UK)	Away	2.38	update
23:44:29	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
23:44:29	Betano (UK)	Home	2.80	update
23:44:29	Matchbook	Away	2.52	update
23:44:29	Matchbook	Draw	3.55	update
23:44:29	Matchbook	Home	3.10	update
23:44:29	Casumo	Away	2.33	update
23:44:29	Casumo	Draw	3.45	update
23:44:29	Casumo	Home	2.85	update
23:44:29	Paddy Power	Away	2.40	update
23:44:29	Paddy Power	Draw	3.30	update
23:44:29	Paddy Power	Home	2.88	update
23:44:15	Grosvenor	Away	2.32	update
23:44:15	Grosvenor	Draw	3.40	update
23:44:15	Grosvenor	Home	2.80	update
23:44:14	Smarkets	Away	2.52	update
23:44:14	Smarkets	Draw	3.55	update
23:44:14	Smarkets	Home	3.00	update
23:44:14	Betfred (UK)	Away	2.40	update
23:44:14	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
23:44:14	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.80	update
23:44:13	Sky Bet	Away	2.40	update
23:44:13	Sky Bet	Draw	3.40	update
23:44:13	Sky Bet	Home	2.80	update
23:43:57	William Hill	Away	2.30	update
23:43:57	William Hill	Draw	3.30	update
23:43:57	William Hill	Home	2.80	update
23:43:57	888sport	Away	2.30	update
23:43:57	888sport	Draw	3.30	update
23:43:57	888sport	Home	2.80	update
23:43:44	Unibet (UK)	Away	2.40	update
23:43:44	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
23:43:44	Unibet (UK)	Home	2.80	update
23:43:43	LeoVegas	Away	2.45	update
23:43:43	LeoVegas	Draw	3.50	update
23:43:43	LeoVegas	Home	2.85	update
23:43:42	Betway	Away	2.40	update
23:43:42	Betway	Draw	3.50	update
23:43:42	Betway	Home	2.75	update
23:43:41	Betfair Sportsbook	Away	2.45	update
23:43:41	Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.40	update
23:43:41	Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.88	update
23:43:41	Virgin Bet	Away	2.25	update
23:43:41	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.30	update
23:43:41	Virgin Bet	Home	2.75	update
23:43:38	Bet Victor	Away	2.38	update
23:43:38	Bet Victor	Draw	3.50	update
23:43:38	Bet Victor	Home	2.80	update
23:43:26	BoyleSports	Away	2.30	update
23:43:26	BoyleSports	Draw	3.40	update
23:43:26	BoyleSports	Home	2.62	update
23:42:35	Coral	Away	2.37	update
23:42:35	Coral	Draw	3.60	update
23:42:35	Coral	Home	2.80	update
10:45:25	Matchbook	Away	2.44	update
10:45:25	Matchbook	Draw	3.65	update
10:45:25	Matchbook	Home	3.10	update
10:45:25	Betfair	Away	2.44	update
10:45:25	Betfair	Draw	3.65	update
10:45:25	Betfair	Home	3.10	update
10:45:12	Unibet (UK)	Away	2.30	update
10:45:12	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
10:45:12	Unibet (UK)	Home	2.90	update
10:45:11	LeoVegas	Away	2.30	update
10:45:11	LeoVegas	Draw	3.55	update
10:45:11	LeoVegas	Home	3.00	update
10:45:10	Betway	Away	2.25	update
10:45:10	Betway	Draw	3.50	update
10:45:10	Betway	Home	2.90	update
10:45:09	Paddy Power	Away	2.30	update
10:45:09	Paddy Power	Draw	3.40	update
10:45:09	Paddy Power	Home	2.88	update
10:45:04	Sky Bet	Away	2.30	update
10:45:04	Sky Bet	Draw	3.40	update
10:45:04	Sky Bet	Home	2.88	update
10:44:56	Smarkets	Away	2.42	update
10:44:56	Smarkets	Draw	3.55	update
10:44:56	Smarkets	Home	3.10	update
10:44:55	Virgin Bet	Away	2.25	update
10:44:55	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.25	update
10:44:55	Virgin Bet	Home	2.80	update
10:44:39	Betfair Sportsbook	Away	2.30	update
10:44:39	Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.40	update
10:44:39	Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.88	update
10:44:39	Grosvenor	Away	2.30	update
10:44:39	Grosvenor	Draw	3.35	update
10:44:39	Grosvenor	Home	2.85	update
10:44:39	888sport	Away	2.25	update
10:44:39	888sport	Draw	3.30	update
10:44:39	888sport	Home	2.90	update
10:44:39	Betfred (UK)	Away	2.38	update
10:44:39	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
10:44:39	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.88	update
10:44:38	Bet Victor	Away	2.25	update
10:44:38	Bet Victor	Draw	3.50	update
10:44:38	Bet Victor	Home	3.00	update
10:44:25	Casumo	Away	2.32	update
10:44:25	Casumo	Draw	3.40	update
10:44:25	Casumo	Home	2.90	update
10:44:24	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.28	update
10:44:24	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.25	update
10:44:24	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.75	update
10:44:23	William Hill	Away	2.25	update
10:44:23	William Hill	Draw	3.30	update
10:44:23	William Hill	Home	2.90	update
10:44:12	BoyleSports	Away	2.15	update
10:44:12	BoyleSports	Draw	3.50	update
10:44:12	BoyleSports	Home	2.75	update
10:43:52	Coral	Away	2.25	update
10:43:52	Coral	Draw	3.60	update
10:43:52	Coral	Home	3.00	update
10:43:16	Betano (UK)	Away	2.25	update
10:43:16	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
10:43:16	Betano (UK)	Home	3.00	update
22:09:16	BoyleSports	Home	2.75	update
22:09:16	BoyleSports	Draw	3.50	update
22:09:16	BoyleSports	Away	2.15	update
22:09:11	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.28	update
22:09:11	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.25	update
22:09:11	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.75	update
22:09:10	Bet Victor	Away	2.25	update
22:09:10	Bet Victor	Draw	3.50	update
22:09:10	Bet Victor	Home	3.00	update
22:09:10	Grosvenor	Away	2.30	update
22:09:10	Grosvenor	Draw	3.35	update
22:09:10	Grosvenor	Home	2.85	update
22:09:10	William Hill	Home	2.90	update
22:09:10	Betfred (UK)	Away	2.38	update
22:09:10	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
22:09:10	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.88	update
22:09:10	William Hill	Draw	3.30	update
22:09:10	William Hill	Away	2.25	update
22:08:57	Unibet (UK)	Away	2.25	update
22:08:57	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
22:08:57	Unibet (UK)	Home	3.00	update
22:08:55	LeoVegas	Away	2.30	update
22:08:55	LeoVegas	Draw	3.55	update
22:08:55	LeoVegas	Home	3.05	update
22:08:54	Matchbook	Away	2.44	update
22:08:54	Matchbook	Draw	3.60	update
22:08:54	Matchbook	Home	3.15	update
22:08:53	Smarkets	Away	2.40	update
22:08:53	Smarkets	Draw	3.55	update
22:08:53	Smarkets	Home	3.10	update
22:08:52	Betfair	Away	2.44	update
22:08:52	Betfair	Draw	3.60	update
22:08:52	Betfair	Home	3.15	update
22:08:52	Sky Bet	Away	2.25	update
22:08:52	Sky Bet	Draw	3.50	update
22:08:52	Sky Bet	Home	2.88	update
22:08:37	Virgin Bet	Away	2.25	update
22:08:37	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.25	update
22:08:37	Virgin Bet	Home	2.80	update
22:08:37	Casumo	Away	2.32	update
22:08:37	Casumo	Draw	3.40	update
22:08:37	Casumo	Home	2.90	update
22:08:36	Betway	Away	2.25	update
22:08:36	Betway	Draw	3.50	update
22:08:36	Betway	Home	2.90	update
22:08:36	Betfair Sportsbook	Away	2.30	update
22:08:36	Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.60	update
22:08:36	Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.90	update
22:08:36	888sport	Away	2.25	update
22:08:36	888sport	Draw	3.30	update
22:08:36	888sport	Home	2.90	update
22:08:01	Paddy Power	Away	2.25	update
22:08:01	Paddy Power	Draw	3.50	update
22:08:01	Paddy Power	Home	2.88	update
22:07:23	Coral	Away	2.25	update
22:07:23	Coral	Draw	3.60	update
22:07:23	Coral	Home	3.00	update
22:07:06	Betano (UK)	Away	2.25	update
22:07:06	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
22:07:06	Betano (UK)	Home	3.00	update