Premier League · Live

Newcastle United — Aston Villa

Replay kickoff 2026-10-17 16:30:00Z

Suggested outcomeAWAY

Best odds3.40

Original score0.0

Enhanced score47.1

Fair probability29.62%

Best-price implied29.41%

Expected value0.69%

Movement from opening-5.56%

Anomaly / confidence84 / 94

Best bookmakerBetfair

Current bookmaker odds

63 rows

Bookmaker	Outcome	Odds	Implied	Fair (de-vigged)
888sport	Home	2.25	44.4%	41.3%
888sport	Draw	3.50	28.6%	26.6%
888sport	Away	2.90	34.5%	32.1%
Bet Victor	Home	2.25	44.4%	41.5%
Bet Victor	Draw	3.70	27.0%	25.2%
Bet Victor	Away	2.80	35.7%	33.3%
Betano (UK)	Home	2.25	44.4%	41.5%
Betano (UK)	Draw	3.70	27.0%	25.2%
Betano (UK)	Away	2.80	35.7%	33.3%
Betfair	Home	2.38	42.0%	41.7%
Betfair	Draw	3.85	26.0%	25.8%
Betfair	Away	3.05	32.8%	32.5%
Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.30	43.5%	41.9%
Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.70	27.0%	26.0%
Betfair Sportsbook	Away	3.00	33.3%	32.1%
Betfred (UK)	Home	2.25	44.4%	41.6%
Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.60	27.8%	26.0%
Betfred (UK)	Away	2.88	34.7%	32.5%
Betway	Home	2.25	44.4%	41.7%
Betway	Draw	3.60	27.8%	26.0%
Betway	Away	2.90	34.5%	32.3%
BoyleSports	Home	2.25	44.4%	42.1%
BoyleSports	Draw	3.75	26.7%	25.3%
BoyleSports	Away	2.90	34.5%	32.7%
Casumo	Home	2.30	43.5%	41.3%
Casumo	Draw	3.70	27.0%	25.7%
Casumo	Away	2.88	34.7%	33.0%
Coral	Home	2.25	44.4%	41.9%
Coral	Draw	3.70	27.0%	25.5%
Coral	Away	2.90	34.5%	32.5%
Grosvenor	Home	2.28	43.9%	41.2%
Grosvenor	Draw	3.65	27.4%	25.8%
Grosvenor	Away	2.85	35.1%	33.0%
Ladbrokes	Home	2.20	45.5%	42.5%
Ladbrokes	Draw	3.70	27.0%	25.3%
Ladbrokes	Away	2.90	34.5%	32.2%
LeoVegas	Home	2.25	44.4%	41.3%
LeoVegas	Draw	3.55	28.2%	26.2%
LeoVegas	Away	2.85	35.1%	32.6%
LiveScore Bet	Home	2.30	43.5%	40.9%
LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.60	27.8%	26.1%
LiveScore Bet	Away	2.85	35.1%	33.0%
Matchbook	Home	2.30	43.5%	43.2%
Matchbook	Draw	3.85	26.0%	25.8%
Matchbook	Away	3.20	31.3%	31.0%
Paddy Power	Home	2.20	45.5%	42.2%
Paddy Power	Draw	3.60	27.8%	25.8%
Paddy Power	Away	2.90	34.5%	32.0%
Sky Bet	Home	2.20	45.5%	42.6%
Sky Bet	Draw	3.75	26.7%	25.0%
Sky Bet	Away	2.90	34.5%	32.3%
Smarkets	Home	2.38	42.0%	41.7%
Smarkets	Draw	3.85	26.0%	25.8%
Smarkets	Away	3.05	32.8%	32.5%
Unibet (UK)	Home	2.25	44.4%	42.6%
Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.75	26.7%	25.5%
Unibet (UK)	Away	3.00	33.3%	31.9%
Virgin Bet	Home	2.28	43.9%	40.9%
Virgin Bet	Draw	3.60	27.8%	25.9%
Virgin Bet	Away	2.80	35.7%	33.3%
William Hill	Home	2.25	44.4%	41.3%
William Hill	Draw	3.50	28.6%	26.6%
William Hill	Away	2.90	34.5%	32.1%

Odds movement timeline

2472 captures

Captured UTC	Bookmaker	Outcome	Odds	Marker
11:26:33	Bet Victor	Draw	3.70	update
11:26:33	Bet Victor	Away	2.80	update
11:26:33	Bet Victor	Home	2.25	update
11:26:21	Smarkets	Draw	3.85	update
11:26:21	Smarkets	Home	2.38	update
11:26:21	Smarkets	Away	3.05	update
11:26:20	Grosvenor	Away	2.85	update
11:26:20	Grosvenor	Draw	3.65	update
11:26:20	Grosvenor	Home	2.28	update
11:26:18	Virgin Bet	Away	2.80	update
11:26:18	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.60	update
11:26:18	Virgin Bet	Home	2.28	update
11:26:18	Betfair	Away	3.05	update
11:26:18	Betfair	Draw	3.85	update
11:26:18	Betfair	Home	2.38	update
11:26:17	Betfair Sportsbook	Away	3.00	update
11:26:17	Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.70	update
11:26:17	Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.30	update
11:26:17	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.85	update
11:26:17	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.60	update
11:26:17	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.30	update
11:26:17	BoyleSports	Away	2.90	update
11:26:17	BoyleSports	Draw	3.75	update
11:26:17	BoyleSports	Home	2.25	update
11:26:08	Coral	Away	2.90	update
11:26:08	Coral	Draw	3.70	update
11:26:08	Coral	Home	2.25	update
11:25:57	Casumo	Away	2.88	update
11:25:57	Casumo	Draw	3.70	update
11:25:57	Casumo	Home	2.30	update
11:25:57	Unibet (UK)	Away	3.00	update
11:25:57	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.75	update
11:25:57	Unibet (UK)	Home	2.25	update
11:25:56	Ladbrokes	Away	2.90	update
11:25:56	Ladbrokes	Draw	3.70	update
11:25:56	Ladbrokes	Home	2.20	update
11:25:55	Paddy Power	Away	2.90	update
11:25:55	Paddy Power	Draw	3.60	update
11:25:55	Paddy Power	Home	2.20	update
11:25:55	Betfred (UK)	Away	2.88	update
11:25:55	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.60	update
11:25:55	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.25	update
11:25:55	888sport	Away	2.90	update
11:25:55	888sport	Draw	3.50	update
11:25:55	888sport	Home	2.25	update
11:25:54	Sky Bet	Away	2.90	update
11:25:54	Sky Bet	Draw	3.75	update
11:25:54	Sky Bet	Home	2.20	update
11:25:33	Betway	Away	2.90	update
11:25:33	Betway	Draw	3.60	update
11:25:33	Betway	Home	2.25	update
11:25:33	William Hill	Away	2.90	update
11:25:33	William Hill	Draw	3.50	update
11:25:33	William Hill	Home	2.25	update
11:25:02	Betano (UK)	Away	2.80	update
11:25:02	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.70	update
11:25:02	Betano (UK)	Home	2.25	update
22:59:44	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.75	update
22:59:44	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.50	update
22:59:44	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.20	update
22:59:31	Smarkets	Away	3.10	update
22:59:31	Smarkets	Draw	3.80	update
22:59:31	Smarkets	Home	2.36	update
22:59:30	Casumo	Away	2.90	update
22:59:30	Casumo	Draw	3.70	update
22:59:30	Casumo	Home	2.30	update
22:59:30	Grosvenor	Away	2.88	update
22:59:30	Grosvenor	Draw	3.65	update
22:59:30	Grosvenor	Home	2.25	update
22:59:30	Betfair	Away	3.10	update
22:59:30	Betfair	Draw	3.80	update
22:59:30	Betfair	Home	2.38	update
22:59:19	888sport	Away	2.90	update
22:59:19	888sport	Draw	3.50	update
22:59:19	888sport	Home	2.20	update
22:59:18	Unibet (UK)	Away	3.00	update
22:59:18	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.70	update
22:59:18	Unibet (UK)	Home	2.25	update
22:59:17	William Hill	Away	2.90	update
22:59:17	William Hill	Draw	3.50	update
22:59:17	William Hill	Home	2.20	update
22:59:16	Virgin Bet	Away	2.75	update
22:59:16	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.50	update
22:59:16	Virgin Bet	Home	2.23	update
22:59:02	Ladbrokes	Away	3.00	update
22:59:02	Ladbrokes	Draw	3.70	update
22:59:02	Ladbrokes	Home	2.20	update
22:59:01	Paddy Power	Away	2.90	update
22:59:01	Paddy Power	Draw	3.60	update
22:59:01	Paddy Power	Home	2.20	update
22:59:00	Betfair Sportsbook	Away	3.00	update
22:59:00	Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.60	update
22:59:00	Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.30	update
22:58:50	LeoVegas	Away	2.85	update
22:58:50	LeoVegas	Draw	3.55	update
22:58:50	LeoVegas	Home	2.25	update
22:58:49	Betway	Away	2.90	update
22:58:49	Betway	Draw	3.60	update
22:58:49	Betway	Home	2.20	update
22:58:47	Coral	Away	3.00	update
22:58:47	Coral	Draw	3.70	update
22:58:47	Coral	Home	2.20	update
22:58:47	Betfred (UK)	Away	3.00	update
22:58:47	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.75	update
22:58:47	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.20	update
22:58:21	Betano (UK)	Away	2.90	update
22:58:21	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.60	update
22:58:21	Betano (UK)	Home	2.20	update
22:58:20	BoyleSports	Away	3.00	update
22:58:20	BoyleSports	Draw	3.60	update
22:58:20	BoyleSports	Home	2.20	update
22:55:25	Bet Victor	Away	2.90	update
22:55:25	Bet Victor	Draw	3.60	update
22:55:25	Bet Victor	Home	2.20	update
22:54:03	Sky Bet	Away	2.90	update
22:54:03	Sky Bet	Draw	3.70	update
22:54:03	Sky Bet	Home	2.20	update
10:55:42	William Hill	Away	2.90	update
10:55:42	William Hill	Draw	3.50	update
10:55:42	William Hill	Home	2.20	update
10:55:41	Smarkets	Away	3.05	update
10:55:41	Smarkets	Draw	3.80	update
10:55:41	Smarkets	Home	2.38	update
10:55:41	LeoVegas	Away	2.80	update
10:55:41	LeoVegas	Draw	3.60	update
10:55:41	LeoVegas	Home	2.25	update
10:55:39	Betfair	Away	3.05	update
10:55:39	Betfair	Draw	3.80	update
10:55:39	Betfair	Home	2.40	update
10:55:25	Betfair Sportsbook	Away	3.00	update
10:55:25	Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.60	update
10:55:25	Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.30	update
10:55:24	Virgin Bet	Away	2.85	update
10:55:24	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.50	update
10:55:24	Virgin Bet	Home	2.16	update
10:55:24	BoyleSports	Away	2.90	update
10:55:24	BoyleSports	Draw	3.75	update
10:55:24	BoyleSports	Home	2.25	update
10:55:13	Unibet (UK)	Away	2.90	update
10:55:13	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.70	update
10:55:13	Unibet (UK)	Home	2.30	update
10:55:12	Ladbrokes	Away	3.00	update
10:55:12	Ladbrokes	Draw	3.70	update
10:55:12	Ladbrokes	Home	2.20	update
10:55:12	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.85	update
10:55:12	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.50	update
10:55:12	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.14	update
10:55:12	Grosvenor	Away	3.00	update
10:55:12	Grosvenor	Draw	3.70	update
10:55:12	Grosvenor	Home	2.23	update
10:55:12	Sky Bet	Away	2.90	update
10:55:12	Sky Bet	Draw	3.50	update
10:55:12	Sky Bet	Home	2.25	update
10:55:12	Betfred (UK)	Away	3.00	update
10:55:12	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.75	update
10:55:12	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.20	update
10:55:02	Bet Victor	Away	2.88	update
10:55:02	Bet Victor	Draw	3.70	update
10:55:02	Bet Victor	Home	2.20	update
10:54:59	Betway	Away	2.90	update
10:54:59	Betway	Draw	3.60	update
10:54:59	Betway	Home	2.25	update
10:54:58	888sport	Away	2.90	update
10:54:58	888sport	Draw	3.50	update
10:54:58	888sport	Home	2.20	update
10:54:46	Casumo	Away	3.00	update
10:54:46	Casumo	Draw	3.70	update
10:54:46	Casumo	Home	2.23	update
10:54:45	Betano (UK)	Away	2.88	update
10:54:45	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.70	update
10:54:45	Betano (UK)	Home	2.20	update
10:54:33	Paddy Power	Away	2.90	update
10:54:33	Paddy Power	Draw	3.60	update
10:54:33	Paddy Power	Home	2.25	update
10:54:05	Coral	Away	3.00	update
10:54:05	Coral	Draw	3.70	update
10:54:05	Coral	Home	2.20	update
22:43:45	Grosvenor	Away	3.00	update
22:43:45	Grosvenor	Draw	3.65	update
22:43:45	Grosvenor	Home	2.23	update
22:43:45	Betfair	Away	3.05	update
22:43:45	Betfair	Draw	3.80	update
22:43:45	Betfair	Home	2.40	update
22:43:34	Virgin Bet	Away	2.85	update
22:43:34	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.50	update
22:43:34	Virgin Bet	Home	2.17	update
22:43:33	Bet Victor	Away	2.88	update
22:43:33	Bet Victor	Draw	3.60	update
22:43:33	Bet Victor	Home	2.20	update
22:43:32	Smarkets	Away	3.05	update
22:43:32	Smarkets	Draw	3.80	update
22:43:32	Smarkets	Home	2.38	update
22:43:32	LeoVegas	Away	2.85	update
22:43:32	LeoVegas	Draw	3.55	update
22:43:32	LeoVegas	Home	2.25	update
22:43:31	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.85	update
22:43:31	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.45	update
22:43:31	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.15	update
22:43:31	Betfred (UK)	Away	3.00	update
22:43:31	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.75	update
22:43:31	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.20	update
22:43:30	Sky Bet	Away	2.88	update
22:43:30	Sky Bet	Draw	3.50	update
22:43:30	Sky Bet	Home	2.25	update
22:43:29	Betano (UK)	Away	2.88	update
22:43:29	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.60	update
22:43:29	Betano (UK)	Home	2.20	update
22:43:18	Betway	Away	2.88	update
22:43:18	Betway	Draw	3.60	update
22:43:18	Betway	Home	2.25	update
22:43:04	Unibet (UK)	Away	2.90	update
22:43:04	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.70	update
22:43:04	Unibet (UK)	Home	2.30	update
22:43:03	Ladbrokes	Away	3.00	update
22:43:03	Ladbrokes	Draw	3.70	update
22:43:03	Ladbrokes	Home	2.20	update
22:43:03	Betfair Sportsbook	Away	2.90	update
22:43:03	Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.60	update
22:43:03	Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.30	update
22:43:03	888sport	Away	3.00	update
22:43:03	888sport	Draw	3.50	update
22:43:03	888sport	Home	2.15	update
22:42:48	William Hill	Away	3.00	update
22:42:48	William Hill	Draw	3.50	update
22:42:48	William Hill	Home	2.15	update
22:42:47	Coral	Away	3.00	update
22:42:47	Coral	Draw	3.70	update
22:42:47	Coral	Home	2.20	update
22:42:47	Casumo	Away	3.00	update
22:42:47	Casumo	Draw	3.70	update
22:42:47	Casumo	Home	2.25	update
22:42:47	Paddy Power	Away	2.88	update
22:42:47	Paddy Power	Draw	3.60	update
22:42:47	Paddy Power	Home	2.25	update
22:42:26	BoyleSports	Away	2.90	update
22:42:26	BoyleSports	Draw	3.60	update
22:42:26	BoyleSports	Home	2.20	update
10:30:40	Betfair	Away	3.05	update
10:30:40	Betfair	Draw	3.85	update
10:30:40	Betfair	Home	2.38	update