EFL Championship · Live
Burnley — Derby County
Replay kickoff 2026-09-19 14:01:00Z
Suggested outcomeHOME
Best odds1.80
Original score21.0
Enhanced score100.0
Fair probability70.31%
Best-price implied55.56%
Expected value26.56%
Movement from opening-2.70%
Anomaly / confidence100 / 93
Best bookmakerBetfred (UK)
Current bookmaker odds
63 rows| Bookmaker | Outcome | Odds | Implied | Fair (de-vigged) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | Home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 69.0% |
| 888sport | Draw | 4.40 | 22.7% | 20.8% |
| 888sport | Away | 9.00 | 11.1% | 10.2% |
| Bet Victor | Home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 68.8% |
| Bet Victor | Draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 22.3% |
| Bet Victor | Away | 10.50 | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Betano (UK) | Home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 70.3% |
| Betano (UK) | Draw | 4.40 | 22.7% | 21.2% |
| Betano (UK) | Away | 11.00 | 9.1% | 8.5% |
| Betfair | Home | 1.37 | 73.0% | 71.5% |
| Betfair | Draw | 5.00 | 20.0% | 19.6% |
| Betfair | Away | 11.00 | 9.1% | 8.9% |
| Betfair Sportsbook | Home | 1.80 | 55.6% | 52.4% |
| Betfair Sportsbook | Draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 25.1% |
| Betfair Sportsbook | Away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 22.5% |
| Betfred (UK) | Home | 1.80 | 55.6% | 52.8% |
| Betfred (UK) | Draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 25.3% |
| Betfred (UK) | Away | 4.33 | 23.1% | 21.9% |
| Betway | Home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 68.7% |
| Betway | Draw | 4.33 | 23.1% | 21.1% |
| Betway | Away | 9.00 | 11.1% | 10.2% |
| BoyleSports | Home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 69.6% |
| BoyleSports | Draw | 4.33 | 23.1% | 20.9% |
| BoyleSports | Away | 9.50 | 10.5% | 9.5% |
| Casumo | Home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 71.9% |
| Casumo | Draw | 4.80 | 20.8% | 19.3% |
| Casumo | Away | 10.50 | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| Coral | Home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 72.0% |
| Coral | Draw | 4.80 | 20.8% | 19.5% |
| Coral | Away | 11.00 | 9.1% | 8.5% |
| Grosvenor | Home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 71.9% |
| Grosvenor | Draw | 4.80 | 20.8% | 19.3% |
| Grosvenor | Away | 10.50 | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| Ladbrokes | Home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 72.3% |
| Ladbrokes | Draw | 4.80 | 20.8% | 19.3% |
| Ladbrokes | Away | 11.00 | 9.1% | 8.4% |
| LeoVegas | Home | 1.32 | 75.8% | 70.2% |
| LeoVegas | Draw | 4.50 | 22.2% | 20.6% |
| LeoVegas | Away | 10.00 | 10.0% | 9.3% |
| LiveScore Bet | Home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 71.9% |
| LiveScore Bet | Draw | 4.80 | 20.8% | 19.3% |
| LiveScore Bet | Away | 10.50 | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| Matchbook | Home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 71.9% |
| Matchbook | Draw | 4.90 | 20.4% | 20.0% |
| Matchbook | Away | 12.00 | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Paddy Power | Home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 71.2% |
| Paddy Power | Draw | 4.50 | 22.2% | 20.4% |
| Paddy Power | Away | 11.00 | 9.1% | 8.4% |
| Sky Bet | Home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 71.1% |
| Sky Bet | Draw | 4.50 | 22.2% | 20.5% |
| Sky Bet | Away | 11.00 | 9.1% | 8.4% |
| Smarkets | Home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 71.4% |
| Smarkets | Draw | 4.90 | 20.4% | 19.8% |
| Smarkets | Away | 11.00 | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Unibet (UK) | Home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 70.9% |
| Unibet (UK) | Draw | 4.60 | 21.7% | 20.5% |
| Unibet (UK) | Away | 11.00 | 9.1% | 8.6% |
| Virgin Bet | Home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 71.9% |
| Virgin Bet | Draw | 4.80 | 20.8% | 19.3% |
| Virgin Bet | Away | 10.50 | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| William Hill | Home | 1.75 | 57.1% | 52.6% |
| William Hill | Draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 25.5% |
| William Hill | Away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 21.9% |
Odds movement timeline
777 captures| Captured UTC | Bookmaker | Outcome | Odds | Marker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:38:49 | Unibet (UK) | Home | 1.33 | update |
| 14:38:49 | Unibet (UK) | Draw | 4.60 | update |
| 14:38:49 | Unibet (UK) | Away | 11.00 | update |
| 14:38:49 | Betfair | Draw | 5.00 | update |
| 14:38:49 | Betfair | Away | 11.00 | update |
| 14:38:49 | Betfair | Home | 1.37 | update |
| 14:38:48 | Matchbook | Draw | 4.90 | update |
| 14:38:48 | Matchbook | Home | 1.36 | update |
| 14:38:48 | Smarkets | Away | 11.00 | update |
| 14:38:48 | Smarkets | Draw | 4.90 | update |
| 14:38:48 | Smarkets | Home | 1.36 | update |
| 14:38:48 | Betway | Away | 9.00 | update |
| 14:38:48 | Betway | Draw | 4.33 | update |
| 14:38:48 | Betway | Home | 1.33 | update |
| 14:38:48 | Matchbook | Away | 12.00 | update |
| 14:38:23 | LeoVegas | Home | 1.32 | update |
| 14:38:23 | LeoVegas | Draw | 4.50 | update |
| 14:38:23 | Coral | Away | 11.00 | update |
| 14:38:23 | Coral | Draw | 4.80 | update |
| 14:38:23 | Coral | Home | 1.30 | update |
| 14:38:23 | LiveScore Bet | Away | 10.50 | update |
| 14:38:23 | LiveScore Bet | Draw | 4.80 | update |
| 14:38:23 | LiveScore Bet | Home | 1.29 | update |
| 14:38:23 | LeoVegas | Away | 10.00 | update |
| 14:38:23 | Virgin Bet | Away | 10.50 | update |
| 14:38:23 | Virgin Bet | Draw | 4.80 | update |
| 14:38:23 | Virgin Bet | Home | 1.29 | update |
| 14:38:22 | 888sport | Away | 9.00 | update |
| 14:38:22 | 888sport | Draw | 4.40 | update |
| 14:38:22 | 888sport | Home | 1.33 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Ladbrokes | Away | 11.00 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Ladbrokes | Draw | 4.80 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Ladbrokes | Home | 1.28 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Paddy Power | Away | 11.00 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Paddy Power | Draw | 4.50 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Paddy Power | Home | 1.29 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Sky Bet | Away | 11.00 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Sky Bet | Draw | 4.50 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Sky Bet | Home | 1.30 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Grosvenor | Away | 10.50 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Grosvenor | Draw | 4.80 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Grosvenor | Home | 1.29 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Casumo | Away | 10.50 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Casumo | Draw | 4.80 | update |
| 14:38:22 | Casumo | Home | 1.29 | update |
| 14:38:18 | Bet Victor | Away | 10.50 | update |
| 14:38:18 | Bet Victor | Draw | 4.20 | update |
| 14:38:18 | Bet Victor | Home | 1.36 | update |
| 14:38:01 | BoyleSports | Away | 9.50 | update |
| 14:38:01 | BoyleSports | Draw | 4.33 | update |
| 14:38:01 | BoyleSports | Home | 1.30 | update |
| 14:36:36 | Betano (UK) | Away | 11.00 | update |
| 14:36:36 | Betano (UK) | Draw | 4.40 | update |
| 14:36:36 | Betano (UK) | Home | 1.33 | update |
| 02:19:08 | BoyleSports | Home | 1.70 | update |
| 02:19:08 | Smarkets | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 02:19:08 | Smarkets | Draw | 4.10 | update |
| 02:19:08 | Smarkets | Away | 4.70 | update |
| 02:19:08 | BoyleSports | Draw | 3.75 | update |
| 02:19:08 | BoyleSports | Away | 4.00 | update |
| 02:19:07 | Matchbook | Away | 4.70 | update |
| 02:19:07 | Matchbook | Draw | 4.20 | update |
| 02:19:07 | Matchbook | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 02:19:07 | Betfair | Away | 4.70 | update |
| 02:19:07 | Betfair | Draw | 4.10 | update |
| 02:19:07 | Betfair | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 02:18:56 | Betano (UK) | Away | 4.50 | update |
| 02:18:56 | Betano (UK) | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 02:18:56 | Betano (UK) | Home | 1.75 | update |
| 02:18:44 | Betfred (UK) | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 02:18:44 | Betfred (UK) | Draw | 3.75 | update |
| 02:18:44 | Betfred (UK) | Away | 4.33 | update |
| 02:18:43 | 888sport | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 02:18:43 | 888sport | Draw | 3.60 | update |
| 02:18:43 | 888sport | Home | 1.75 | update |
| 02:18:43 | Ladbrokes | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 02:18:43 | Ladbrokes | Draw | 3.75 | update |
| 02:18:43 | Ladbrokes | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 02:18:21 | Sky Bet | Away | 4.33 | update |
| 02:18:21 | Sky Bet | Draw | 4.00 | update |
| 02:18:21 | Sky Bet | Home | 1.70 | update |
| 02:18:21 | LiveScore Bet | Away | 4.10 | update |
| 02:18:21 | LiveScore Bet | Draw | 3.50 | update |
| 02:18:21 | LiveScore Bet | Home | 1.72 | update |
| 02:18:21 | Casumo | Away | 4.30 | update |
| 02:18:21 | Casumo | Draw | 3.60 | update |
| 02:18:21 | Casumo | Home | 1.78 | update |
| 02:18:20 | William Hill | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 02:18:20 | William Hill | Draw | 3.60 | update |
| 02:18:20 | William Hill | Home | 1.75 | update |
| 02:18:20 | Unibet (UK) | Away | 4.25 | update |
| 02:18:20 | Unibet (UK) | Draw | 3.70 | update |
| 02:18:20 | Unibet (UK) | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 02:18:20 | Betway | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 02:18:20 | Betway | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 02:18:20 | Betway | Home | 1.75 | update |
| 02:18:20 | LeoVegas | Away | 4.33 | update |
| 02:18:20 | LeoVegas | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 02:18:20 | LeoVegas | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 02:18:20 | Virgin Bet | Away | 4.10 | update |
| 02:18:20 | Virgin Bet | Draw | 3.50 | update |
| 02:18:20 | Virgin Bet | Home | 1.72 | update |
| 02:18:19 | Grosvenor | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 02:18:19 | Grosvenor | Draw | 3.55 | update |
| 02:18:19 | Grosvenor | Home | 1.78 | update |
| 02:18:15 | Bet Victor | Away | 4.50 | update |
| 02:18:15 | Bet Victor | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 02:18:15 | Bet Victor | Home | 1.75 | update |
| 02:17:58 | Coral | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 02:17:58 | Coral | Draw | 3.75 | update |
| 02:17:58 | Coral | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 02:17:11 | Paddy Power | Away | 4.33 | update |
| 02:17:11 | Paddy Power | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 02:17:11 | Paddy Power | Home | 1.70 | update |
| 09:18:00 | Betfair | Away | 4.50 | update |
| 09:18:00 | Betfair | Draw | 3.95 | update |
| 09:18:00 | Betfair | Home | 1.89 | update |
| 09:18:00 | Virgin Bet | Away | 4.10 | update |
| 09:18:00 | Virgin Bet | Draw | 3.50 | update |
| 09:18:00 | Virgin Bet | Home | 1.72 | update |
| 09:17:59 | Smarkets | Away | 4.40 | update |
| 09:17:59 | Smarkets | Draw | 3.90 | update |
| 09:17:59 | Smarkets | Home | 1.88 | update |
| 09:17:58 | Matchbook | Away | 4.50 | update |
| 09:17:58 | Matchbook | Draw | 3.95 | update |
| 09:17:58 | Matchbook | Home | 1.89 | update |
| 09:17:58 | 888sport | Away | 4.00 | update |
| 09:17:58 | 888sport | Draw | 3.40 | update |
| 09:17:58 | 888sport | Home | 1.85 | update |
| 09:17:58 | Paddy Power | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 09:17:58 | Paddy Power | Draw | 3.75 | update |
| 09:17:58 | Paddy Power | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 09:17:58 | Casumo | Away | 4.30 | update |
| 09:17:58 | Casumo | Draw | 3.60 | update |
| 09:17:58 | Casumo | Home | 1.78 | update |
| 09:17:51 | Bet Victor | Away | 4.33 | update |
| 09:17:51 | Bet Victor | Draw | 3.70 | update |
| 09:17:51 | Bet Victor | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 09:17:37 | BoyleSports | Away | 4.00 | update |
| 09:17:37 | BoyleSports | Draw | 3.60 | update |
| 09:17:37 | BoyleSports | Home | 1.75 | update |
| 09:17:36 | William Hill | Away | 4.00 | update |
| 09:17:36 | William Hill | Draw | 3.40 | update |
| 09:17:36 | William Hill | Home | 1.85 | update |
| 09:17:36 | Coral | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 09:17:36 | Coral | Draw | 3.70 | update |
| 09:17:36 | Coral | Home | 1.83 | update |
| 09:17:36 | LiveScore Bet | Away | 4.10 | update |
| 09:17:36 | LiveScore Bet | Draw | 3.50 | update |
| 09:17:36 | LiveScore Bet | Home | 1.72 | update |
| 09:17:36 | LeoVegas | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 09:17:36 | LeoVegas | Draw | 3.70 | update |
| 09:17:36 | LeoVegas | Home | 1.85 | update |
| 09:17:35 | Sky Bet | Away | 4.00 | update |
| 09:17:35 | Sky Bet | Draw | 3.60 | update |
| 09:17:35 | Sky Bet | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 09:17:35 | Betway | Away | 4.00 | update |
| 09:17:35 | Betway | Draw | 3.75 | update |
| 09:17:35 | Betway | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 09:17:35 | Betfred (UK) | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 09:17:35 | Betfred (UK) | Draw | 3.75 | update |
| 09:17:35 | Betfred (UK) | Home | 1.83 | update |
| 09:17:35 | Grosvenor | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 09:17:35 | Grosvenor | Draw | 3.55 | update |
| 09:17:35 | Grosvenor | Home | 1.78 | update |
| 09:17:18 | Unibet (UK) | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 09:17:18 | Unibet (UK) | Draw | 3.60 | update |
| 09:17:18 | Unibet (UK) | Home | 1.83 | update |
| 09:17:14 | Ladbrokes | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 09:17:14 | Ladbrokes | Draw | 3.70 | update |
| 09:17:14 | Ladbrokes | Home | 1.83 | update |
| 09:16:41 | Betano (UK) | Away | 4.33 | update |
| 09:16:41 | Betano (UK) | Draw | 3.70 | update |
| 09:16:41 | Betano (UK) | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 15:16:02 | Betano (UK) | Away | 4.33 | update |
| 15:16:02 | Betano (UK) | Draw | 3.70 | update |
| 15:16:02 | Betano (UK) | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 15:15:52 | Betfair | Away | 4.40 | update |
| 15:15:52 | Betfair | Draw | 3.90 | update |
| 15:15:52 | Betfair | Home | 1.89 | update |
| 15:15:52 | LeoVegas | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 15:15:52 | LeoVegas | Draw | 3.70 | update |
| 15:15:52 | LeoVegas | Home | 1.85 | update |
| 15:15:50 | Matchbook | Away | 4.40 | update |
| 15:15:50 | Matchbook | Draw | 3.90 | update |
| 15:15:50 | Matchbook | Home | 1.89 | update |
| 15:15:50 | Smarkets | Away | 4.40 | update |
| 15:15:50 | Smarkets | Draw | 3.85 | update |
| 15:15:50 | Smarkets | Home | 1.88 | update |
| 15:15:50 | Casumo | Away | 4.30 | update |
| 15:15:50 | Casumo | Draw | 3.60 | update |
| 15:15:50 | Casumo | Home | 1.78 | update |
| 15:15:30 | William Hill | Away | 4.00 | update |
| 15:15:30 | William Hill | Draw | 3.40 | update |
| 15:15:30 | William Hill | Home | 1.85 | update |
| 15:15:29 | Unibet (UK) | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 15:15:29 | Unibet (UK) | Draw | 3.60 | update |
| 15:15:29 | Unibet (UK) | Home | 1.83 | update |
| 15:15:27 | 888sport | Away | 4.00 | update |
| 15:15:27 | 888sport | Draw | 3.40 | update |
| 15:15:27 | 888sport | Home | 1.85 | update |
| 15:15:27 | Paddy Power | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 15:15:27 | Paddy Power | Draw | 3.75 | update |
| 15:15:27 | Paddy Power | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 15:15:27 | Sky Bet | Away | 4.00 | update |
| 15:15:27 | Sky Bet | Draw | 3.60 | update |
| 15:15:27 | Sky Bet | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 15:15:27 | Betfred (UK) | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 15:15:27 | Betfred (UK) | Draw | 3.75 | update |
| 15:15:27 | Betfred (UK) | Home | 1.83 | update |
| 15:15:27 | Virgin Bet | Away | 4.10 | update |
| 15:15:27 | Virgin Bet | Draw | 3.50 | update |
| 15:15:27 | Virgin Bet | Home | 1.72 | update |
| 15:15:08 | BoyleSports | Away | 4.00 | update |
| 15:15:08 | BoyleSports | Draw | 3.60 | update |
| 15:15:08 | BoyleSports | Home | 1.75 | update |
| 15:15:07 | LiveScore Bet | Away | 4.10 | update |
| 15:15:07 | LiveScore Bet | Draw | 3.50 | update |
| 15:15:07 | LiveScore Bet | Home | 1.72 | update |
| 15:15:07 | Grosvenor | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 15:15:07 | Grosvenor | Draw | 3.55 | update |
| 15:15:07 | Grosvenor | Home | 1.78 | update |
| 15:15:06 | Ladbrokes | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 15:15:06 | Ladbrokes | Draw | 3.70 | update |
| 15:15:06 | Ladbrokes | Home | 1.83 | update |
| 15:15:06 | Betway | Away | 4.00 | update |
| 15:15:06 | Betway | Draw | 3.60 | update |
| 15:15:06 | Betway | Home | 1.77 | update |
| 15:14:12 | Bet Victor | Away | 4.33 | update |
| 15:14:12 | Bet Victor | Draw | 3.70 | update |
| 15:14:12 | Bet Victor | Home | 1.80 | update |
| 15:13:56 | Coral | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 15:13:56 | Coral | Draw | 3.70 | update |
| 15:13:56 | Coral | Home | 1.83 | update |
| 02:12:20 | Betfair | Away | 4.40 | update |
| 02:12:20 | Betfair | Draw | 3.85 | update |
| 02:12:20 | Betfair | Home | 1.84 | update |
| 02:12:20 | Ladbrokes | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 02:12:20 | Ladbrokes | Draw | 3.60 | update |
| 02:12:20 | Ladbrokes | Home | 1.83 | update |