Premier League · Live

Aston Villa — Brentford

Replay kickoff 2026-10-10 14:00:00Z

Suggested outcomeHOME

Best odds2.84

Original score0.0

Enhanced score53.3

Fair probability35.93%

Best-price implied35.21%

Expected value2.05%

Movement from opening1.43%

Anomaly / confidence81 / 98

Best bookmakerBetfair

Current bookmaker odds

63 rows

Bookmaker	Outcome	Odds	Implied	Fair (de-vigged)
888sport	Home	2.70	37.0%	34.5%
888sport	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.4%
888sport	Away	2.45	40.8%	38.1%
Bet Victor	Home	2.70	37.0%	35.1%
Bet Victor	Draw	3.60	27.8%	26.3%
Bet Victor	Away	2.45	40.8%	38.6%
Betano (UK)	Home	2.70	37.0%	35.1%
Betano (UK)	Draw	3.60	27.8%	26.3%
Betano (UK)	Away	2.45	40.8%	38.6%
Betfair	Home	2.88	34.7%	34.6%
Betfair	Draw	3.70	27.0%	27.0%
Betfair	Away	2.60	38.5%	38.4%
Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.80	35.7%	34.2%
Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.50	28.6%	27.4%
Betfair Sportsbook	Away	2.50	40.0%	38.4%
Betfred (UK)	Home	2.75	36.4%	34.4%
Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.60	27.8%	26.3%
Betfred (UK)	Away	2.40	41.7%	39.4%
Betway	Home	2.70	37.0%	34.5%
Betway	Draw	3.50	28.6%	26.6%
Betway	Away	2.40	41.7%	38.8%
BoyleSports	Home	2.75	36.4%	34.4%
BoyleSports	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.8%
BoyleSports	Away	2.50	40.0%	37.8%
Casumo	Home	2.65	37.7%	35.8%
Casumo	Draw	3.65	27.4%	26.0%
Casumo	Away	2.48	40.3%	38.2%
Coral	Home	2.70	37.0%	35.1%
Coral	Draw	3.50	28.6%	27.1%
Coral	Away	2.50	40.0%	37.9%
Grosvenor	Home	2.65	37.7%	35.8%
Grosvenor	Draw	3.65	27.4%	26.0%
Grosvenor	Away	2.48	40.3%	38.2%
Ladbrokes	Home	2.70	37.0%	34.8%
Ladbrokes	Draw	3.50	28.6%	26.8%
Ladbrokes	Away	2.45	40.8%	38.4%
LeoVegas	Home	2.60	38.5%	35.7%
LeoVegas	Draw	3.50	28.6%	26.5%
LeoVegas	Away	2.45	40.8%	37.8%
LiveScore Bet	Home	2.65	37.7%	35.7%
LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.60	27.8%	26.2%
LiveScore Bet	Away	2.48	40.3%	38.1%
Matchbook	Home	2.88	34.7%	34.6%
Matchbook	Draw	3.70	27.0%	27.0%
Matchbook	Away	2.60	38.5%	38.4%
Paddy Power	Home	2.70	37.0%	34.5%
Paddy Power	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.4%
Paddy Power	Away	2.45	40.8%	38.1%
Sky Bet	Home	2.70	37.0%	34.8%
Sky Bet	Draw	3.50	28.6%	26.8%
Sky Bet	Away	2.45	40.8%	38.4%
Smarkets	Home	2.88	34.7%	34.6%
Smarkets	Draw	3.70	27.0%	27.0%
Smarkets	Away	2.60	38.5%	38.4%
Unibet (UK)	Home	2.70	37.0%	35.6%
Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.60	27.8%	26.7%
Unibet (UK)	Away	2.55	39.2%	37.7%
Virgin Bet	Home	2.63	38.0%	35.5%
Virgin Bet	Draw	3.55	28.2%	26.3%
Virgin Bet	Away	2.45	40.8%	38.1%
William Hill	Home	2.70	37.0%	34.5%
William Hill	Draw	3.40	29.4%	27.4%
William Hill	Away	2.45	40.8%	38.1%

Odds movement timeline

2721 captures

Captured UTC	Bookmaker	Outcome	Odds	Marker
11:54:54	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.60	update
11:54:54	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.48	update
11:54:54	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.65	update
11:54:54	LeoVegas	Away	2.45	update
11:54:54	LeoVegas	Draw	3.50	update
11:54:54	LeoVegas	Home	2.60	update
11:54:53	Bet Victor	Away	2.45	update
11:54:53	Bet Victor	Draw	3.60	update
11:54:53	Bet Victor	Home	2.70	update
11:54:53	Smarkets	Away	2.60	update
11:54:53	Smarkets	Draw	3.70	update
11:54:53	Smarkets	Home	2.88	update
11:54:52	Matchbook	Away	2.60	update
11:54:52	Matchbook	Draw	3.70	update
11:54:52	Matchbook	Home	2.88	update
11:54:52	Betfair Sportsbook	Away	2.50	update
11:54:52	Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.50	update
11:54:52	Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.80	update
11:54:52	Betfair	Away	2.60	update
11:54:52	Betfair	Draw	3.70	update
11:54:52	Betfair	Home	2.88	update
11:54:42	Unibet (UK)	Away	2.55	update
11:54:42	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.60	update
11:54:42	Unibet (UK)	Home	2.70	update
11:54:37	Ladbrokes	Away	2.45	update
11:54:37	Ladbrokes	Draw	3.50	update
11:54:37	Ladbrokes	Home	2.70	update
11:54:35	Coral	Away	2.50	update
11:54:35	Coral	Draw	3.50	update
11:54:35	Coral	Home	2.70	update
11:54:35	Grosvenor	Away	2.48	update
11:54:35	Grosvenor	Draw	3.65	update
11:54:35	Grosvenor	Home	2.65	update
11:54:35	Virgin Bet	Away	2.45	update
11:54:35	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.55	update
11:54:35	Virgin Bet	Home	2.63	update
11:54:35	William Hill	Away	2.45	update
11:54:35	William Hill	Draw	3.40	update
11:54:35	William Hill	Home	2.70	update
11:54:35	Betfred (UK)	Away	2.40	update
11:54:35	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.60	update
11:54:35	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.75	update
11:54:17	Casumo	Away	2.48	update
11:54:17	Casumo	Draw	3.65	update
11:54:17	Casumo	Home	2.65	update
11:54:16	888sport	Away	2.45	update
11:54:16	888sport	Draw	3.40	update
11:54:16	888sport	Home	2.70	update
11:53:59	Betway	Away	2.40	update
11:53:59	Betway	Draw	3.50	update
11:53:59	Betway	Home	2.70	update
11:53:59	BoyleSports	Away	2.50	update
11:53:59	BoyleSports	Draw	3.40	update
11:53:59	BoyleSports	Home	2.75	update
11:53:44	Paddy Power	Away	2.45	update
11:53:44	Paddy Power	Draw	3.40	update
11:53:44	Paddy Power	Home	2.70	update
11:53:42	Betano (UK)	Away	2.45	update
11:53:42	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.60	update
11:53:42	Betano (UK)	Home	2.70	update
11:53:26	Sky Bet	Away	2.45	update
11:53:26	Sky Bet	Draw	3.50	update
11:53:26	Sky Bet	Home	2.70	update
23:44:40	Betano (UK)	Away	2.50	update
23:44:40	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.60	update
23:44:40	Betano (UK)	Home	2.70	update
23:44:28	Matchbook	Away	2.64	update
23:44:28	Matchbook	Draw	3.65	update
23:44:28	Matchbook	Home	2.82	update
23:44:28	Bet Victor	Away	2.50	update
23:44:28	Bet Victor	Draw	3.60	update
23:44:28	Bet Victor	Home	2.70	update
23:44:27	Ladbrokes	Away	2.50	update
23:44:27	Ladbrokes	Draw	3.50	update
23:44:27	Ladbrokes	Home	2.60	update
23:44:13	Betfair	Away	2.64	update
23:44:13	Betfair	Draw	3.65	update
23:44:13	Betfair	Home	2.82	update
23:44:13	Smarkets	Home	2.82	update
23:44:13	Smarkets	Draw	3.65	update
23:44:13	Smarkets	Away	2.64	update
23:44:12	Betfair Sportsbook	Away	2.50	update
23:44:12	Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.50	update
23:44:12	Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.70	update
23:44:12	William Hill	Away	2.50	update
23:44:12	William Hill	Draw	3.30	update
23:44:12	William Hill	Home	2.62	update
23:44:12	Betfred (UK)	Away	2.50	update
23:44:12	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.60	update
23:44:12	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.62	update
23:43:58	LeoVegas	Away	2.50	update
23:43:58	LeoVegas	Draw	3.45	update
23:43:58	LeoVegas	Home	2.60	update
23:43:58	Unibet (UK)	Away	2.55	update
23:43:58	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.60	update
23:43:58	Unibet (UK)	Home	2.75	update
23:43:57	888sport	Away	2.50	update
23:43:57	888sport	Draw	3.30	update
23:43:57	888sport	Home	2.62	update
23:43:56	Casumo	Away	2.55	update
23:43:56	Casumo	Draw	3.60	update
23:43:56	Casumo	Home	2.63	update
23:43:56	Betway	Away	2.40	update
23:43:56	Betway	Draw	3.50	update
23:43:56	Betway	Home	2.70	update
23:43:56	Grosvenor	Away	2.50	update
23:43:56	Grosvenor	Draw	3.60	update
23:43:56	Grosvenor	Home	2.63	update
23:43:56	Virgin Bet	Away	2.50	update
23:43:56	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.55	update
23:43:56	Virgin Bet	Home	2.60	update
23:43:41	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.50	update
23:43:41	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.50	update
23:43:41	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.55	update
23:43:40	BoyleSports	Away	2.60	update
23:43:40	BoyleSports	Draw	3.60	update
23:43:40	BoyleSports	Home	2.62	update
23:43:40	Paddy Power	Away	2.50	update
23:43:40	Paddy Power	Draw	3.50	update
23:43:40	Paddy Power	Home	2.62	update
23:42:52	Coral	Away	2.60	update
23:42:52	Coral	Draw	3.60	update
23:42:52	Coral	Home	2.60	update
23:37:01	Sky Bet	Away	2.45	update
23:37:01	Sky Bet	Draw	3.60	update
23:37:01	Sky Bet	Home	2.63	update
10:45:25	Matchbook	Away	2.70	update
10:45:25	Matchbook	Draw	3.65	update
10:45:25	Matchbook	Home	2.78	update
10:45:24	Casumo	Away	2.60	update
10:45:24	Casumo	Draw	3.65	update
10:45:24	Casumo	Home	2.55	update
10:45:24	Ladbrokes	Away	2.50	update
10:45:24	Ladbrokes	Draw	3.50	update
10:45:24	Ladbrokes	Home	2.60	update
10:45:24	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.55	update
10:45:24	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.55	update
10:45:24	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.50	update
10:45:24	Betfair	Away	2.70	update
10:45:24	Betfair	Draw	3.65	update
10:45:24	Betfair	Home	2.78	update
10:45:10	LeoVegas	Away	2.50	update
10:45:10	LeoVegas	Draw	3.45	update
10:45:10	LeoVegas	Home	2.55	update
10:45:08	BoyleSports	Away	2.50	update
10:45:08	BoyleSports	Draw	3.50	update
10:45:08	BoyleSports	Home	2.60	update
10:45:08	William Hill	Away	2.50	update
10:45:08	William Hill	Draw	3.30	update
10:45:08	William Hill	Home	2.60	update
10:45:08	888sport	Away	2.50	update
10:45:08	888sport	Draw	3.30	update
10:45:08	888sport	Home	2.60	update
10:45:08	Betfred (UK)	Away	2.50	update
10:45:08	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.60	update
10:45:08	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.62	update
10:44:55	Smarkets	Away	2.70	update
10:44:55	Smarkets	Draw	3.65	update
10:44:55	Smarkets	Home	2.78	update
10:44:53	Betano (UK)	Away	2.55	update
10:44:53	Betano (UK)	Draw	3.60	update
10:44:53	Betano (UK)	Home	2.62	update
10:44:41	Unibet (UK)	Away	2.60	update
10:44:41	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
10:44:41	Unibet (UK)	Home	2.60	update
10:44:38	Betway	Away	2.50	update
10:44:38	Betway	Draw	3.50	update
10:44:38	Betway	Home	2.62	update
10:44:38	Coral	Away	2.60	update
10:44:38	Coral	Draw	3.60	update
10:44:38	Coral	Home	2.60	update
10:44:38	Virgin Bet	Away	2.60	update
10:44:38	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.55	update
10:44:38	Virgin Bet	Home	2.50	update
10:44:37	Betfair Sportsbook	Away	2.60	update
10:44:37	Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.50	update
10:44:37	Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.70	update
10:44:25	Grosvenor	Away	2.60	update
10:44:25	Grosvenor	Draw	3.60	update
10:44:25	Grosvenor	Home	2.55	update
10:44:06	Bet Victor	Away	2.55	update
10:44:06	Bet Victor	Draw	3.60	update
10:44:06	Bet Victor	Home	2.62	update
10:43:50	Paddy Power	Away	2.50	update
10:43:50	Paddy Power	Draw	3.40	update
10:43:50	Paddy Power	Home	2.62	update
10:42:46	Sky Bet	Away	2.50	update
10:42:46	Sky Bet	Draw	3.40	update
10:42:46	Sky Bet	Home	2.63	update
22:09:12	LiveScore Bet	Home	2.50	update
22:09:12	LiveScore Bet	Draw	3.50	update
22:09:12	LiveScore Bet	Away	2.55	update
22:09:10	Smarkets	Home	2.76	update
22:09:10	Smarkets	Draw	3.65	update
22:09:10	Smarkets	Away	2.70	update
22:09:09	Matchbook	Away	2.70	update
22:09:09	Matchbook	Draw	3.65	update
22:09:09	Matchbook	Home	2.78	update
22:08:51	Betway	Away	2.50	update
22:08:51	Betway	Draw	3.50	update
22:08:51	Betway	Home	2.60	update
22:08:51	Virgin Bet	Away	2.60	update
22:08:51	Virgin Bet	Draw	3.55	update
22:08:51	Virgin Bet	Home	2.50	update
22:08:50	Betfair	Away	2.70	update
22:08:50	Betfair	Draw	3.65	update
22:08:50	Betfair	Home	2.76	update
22:08:39	Unibet (UK)	Away	2.60	update
22:08:39	Unibet (UK)	Draw	3.50	update
22:08:39	Unibet (UK)	Home	2.65	update
22:08:37	LeoVegas	Away	2.50	update
22:08:37	LeoVegas	Draw	3.45	update
22:08:37	LeoVegas	Home	2.55	update
22:08:36	Grosvenor	Away	2.60	update
22:08:36	Grosvenor	Draw	3.60	update
22:08:36	Grosvenor	Home	2.55	update
22:08:34	Casumo	Away	2.60	update
22:08:34	Casumo	Draw	3.60	update
22:08:34	Casumo	Home	2.55	update
22:08:33	Ladbrokes	Away	2.50	update
22:08:33	Ladbrokes	Draw	3.50	update
22:08:33	Ladbrokes	Home	2.60	update
22:08:33	BoyleSports	Away	2.50	update
22:08:33	BoyleSports	Draw	3.50	update
22:08:33	BoyleSports	Home	2.60	update
22:08:33	William Hill	Away	2.50	update
22:08:33	William Hill	Draw	3.30	update
22:08:33	William Hill	Home	2.60	update
22:08:33	Betfred (UK)	Away	2.50	update
22:08:33	Betfred (UK)	Draw	3.60	update
22:08:33	Betfred (UK)	Home	2.62	update
22:08:16	Coral	Away	2.60	update
22:08:16	Coral	Draw	3.60	update
22:08:16	Coral	Home	2.60	update
22:08:15	Betfair Sportsbook	Away	2.60	update
22:08:15	Betfair Sportsbook	Draw	3.50	update
22:08:15	Betfair Sportsbook	Home	2.70	update
22:08:15	888sport	Away	2.50	update
22:08:15	888sport	Draw	3.30	update
22:08:15	888sport	Home	2.60	update