UEFA Champions League · Live
Manchester City — Paris Saint Germain
Replay kickoff 2026-10-14 19:00:00Z
Suggested outcomeDRAW
Best odds4.20
Original score0.0
Enhanced score40.6
Fair probability24.32%
Best-price implied23.81%
Expected value2.14%
Movement from opening5.00%
Anomaly / confidence54 / 73
Best bookmakerBetfred (UK)
Current bookmaker odds
30 rows| Bookmaker | Outcome | Odds | Implied | Fair (de-vigged) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | Home | 1.06 | 94.3% | 45.2% |
| Betfair | Draw | 1.75 | 57.1% | 27.4% |
| Betfair | Away | 1.75 | 57.1% | 27.4% |
| Betfred (UK) | Home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 44.3% |
| Betfred (UK) | Draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 22.7% |
| Betfred (UK) | Away | 2.88 | 34.7% | 33.1% |
| Grosvenor | Home | 2.12 | 47.2% | 43.9% |
| Grosvenor | Draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.5% |
| Grosvenor | Away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 31.6% |
| LeoVegas | Home | 2.02 | 49.5% | 44.5% |
| LeoVegas | Draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 24.0% |
| LeoVegas | Away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 31.5% |
| LiveScore Bet | Home | 2.12 | 47.2% | 43.9% |
| LiveScore Bet | Draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.5% |
| LiveScore Bet | Away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 31.6% |
| Paddy Power | Home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.4% |
| Paddy Power | Draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 23.3% |
| Paddy Power | Away | 2.88 | 34.7% | 32.3% |
| Sky Bet | Home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.1% |
| Sky Bet | Draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 23.7% |
| Sky Bet | Away | 2.88 | 34.7% | 32.2% |
| Smarkets | Home | 1.97 | 50.8% | 43.8% |
| Smarkets | Draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 24.7% |
| Smarkets | Away | 2.74 | 36.5% | 31.5% |
| Unibet (UK) | Home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 44.4% |
| Unibet (UK) | Draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.5% |
| Unibet (UK) | Away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 31.1% |
| Virgin Bet | Home | 2.12 | 47.2% | 43.9% |
| Virgin Bet | Draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.5% |
| Virgin Bet | Away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 31.6% |
Odds movement timeline
72 captures| Captured UTC | Bookmaker | Outcome | Odds | Marker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:21:37 | Unibet (UK) | Away | 3.00 | update |
| 07:21:37 | Unibet (UK) | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 07:21:37 | Unibet (UK) | Home | 2.10 | update |
| 07:21:27 | Smarkets | Away | 2.74 | update |
| 07:21:27 | Smarkets | Draw | 3.50 | update |
| 07:21:27 | Smarkets | Home | 1.97 | update |
| 07:21:26 | LiveScore Bet | Away | 2.95 | update |
| 07:21:26 | LiveScore Bet | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 07:21:26 | LiveScore Bet | Home | 2.12 | update |
| 07:21:26 | Betfred (UK) | Away | 2.88 | update |
| 07:21:26 | Betfred (UK) | Draw | 4.20 | update |
| 07:21:26 | Betfred (UK) | Home | 2.15 | update |
| 07:21:04 | Betfair | Away | 1.75 | update |
| 07:21:04 | Betfair | Draw | 1.75 | update |
| 07:21:04 | Betfair | Home | 1.06 | update |
| 07:21:02 | Paddy Power | Away | 2.88 | update |
| 07:21:02 | Paddy Power | Draw | 4.00 | update |
| 07:21:02 | Paddy Power | Home | 2.10 | update |
| 07:20:40 | Sky Bet | Away | 2.88 | update |
| 07:20:40 | Sky Bet | Draw | 3.90 | update |
| 07:20:40 | Sky Bet | Home | 2.10 | update |
| 07:20:37 | Grosvenor | Away | 2.95 | update |
| 07:20:37 | Grosvenor | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 07:20:37 | Grosvenor | Home | 2.12 | update |
| 07:20:37 | Virgin Bet | Away | 2.95 | update |
| 07:20:37 | Virgin Bet | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 07:20:37 | Virgin Bet | Home | 2.12 | update |
| 07:20:36 | LeoVegas | Away | 2.85 | update |
| 07:20:36 | LeoVegas | Draw | 3.75 | update |
| 07:20:36 | LeoVegas | Home | 2.02 | update |
| 16:19:44 | Betfair | Away | 3.00 | update |
| 16:19:44 | Betfair | Draw | 4.20 | update |
| 16:19:44 | Betfair | Home | 2.12 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Smarkets | Away | 2.60 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Smarkets | Draw | 3.40 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Smarkets | Home | 2.04 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Unibet (UK) | Away | 2.80 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Unibet (UK) | Draw | 3.75 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Unibet (UK) | Home | 2.20 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Sky Bet | Away | 2.80 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Sky Bet | Draw | 4.00 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Sky Bet | Home | 2.10 | update |
| 16:19:42 | LiveScore Bet | Away | 2.95 | update |
| 16:19:42 | LiveScore Bet | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 16:19:42 | LiveScore Bet | Home | 2.12 | update |
| 16:19:16 | Virgin Bet | Away | 2.95 | update |
| 16:19:16 | Virgin Bet | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 16:19:16 | Virgin Bet | Home | 2.12 | update |
| 16:19:15 | Grosvenor | Away | 2.95 | update |
| 16:19:15 | Grosvenor | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 16:19:15 | Grosvenor | Home | 2.12 | update |
| 16:19:15 | Betfred (UK) | Away | 2.88 | update |
| 16:19:15 | Betfred (UK) | Draw | 4.20 | update |
| 16:19:15 | Betfred (UK) | Home | 2.15 | update |
| 16:19:14 | LeoVegas | Away | 2.75 | update |
| 16:19:14 | LeoVegas | Draw | 3.75 | update |
| 16:19:14 | LeoVegas | Home | 2.10 | update |
| 16:19:13 | Paddy Power | Away | 2.88 | update |
| 16:19:13 | Paddy Power | Draw | 4.00 | update |
| 16:19:13 | Paddy Power | Home | 2.10 | update |
| 04:14:59 | Betfair | Away | 1.06 | update |
| 04:14:59 | Betfair | Draw | 1.01 | update |
| 04:14:59 | Betfair | Home | 1.06 | update |
| 04:14:58 | Paddy Power | Away | 2.62 | update |
| 04:14:58 | Paddy Power | Draw | 4.00 | update |
| 04:14:58 | Paddy Power | Home | 2.30 | update |
| 04:14:57 | Sky Bet | Away | 2.63 | update |
| 04:14:57 | Sky Bet | Draw | 3.90 | update |
| 04:14:57 | Sky Bet | Home | 2.30 | update |
| 04:14:56 | Betfred (UK) | Away | 2.62 | update |
| 04:14:56 | Betfred (UK) | Draw | 4.00 | update |
| 04:14:56 | Betfred (UK) | Home | 2.38 | update |