UEFA Champions League · Live
Aston Villa — Fenerbahce
Replay kickoff 2026-10-14 19:00:00Z
Suggested outcomeHOME
Best odds1.80
Original score4.2
Enhanced score40.4
Fair probability52.90%
Best-price implied55.56%
Expected value4.21%
Movement from opening0.00%
Anomaly / confidence34 / 51
Best bookmakerBetfred (UK)
Current bookmaker odds
30 rows| Bookmaker | Outcome | Odds | Implied | Fair (de-vigged) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | Home | 1.06 | 94.3% | 32.8% |
| Betfair | Draw | 1.01 | 99.0% | 34.4% |
| Betfair | Away | 1.06 | 94.3% | 32.8% |
| Betfred (UK) | Home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 55.7% |
| Betfred (UK) | Draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 23.7% |
| Betfred (UK) | Away | 4.60 | 21.7% | 20.6% |
| Grosvenor | Home | 1.72 | 58.1% | 54.2% |
| Grosvenor | Draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.6% |
| Grosvenor | Away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 21.2% |
| LeoVegas | Home | 1.64 | 61.0% | 55.2% |
| LeoVegas | Draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 23.8% |
| LeoVegas | Away | 4.33 | 23.1% | 20.9% |
| LiveScore Bet | Home | 1.72 | 58.1% | 54.2% |
| LiveScore Bet | Draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.6% |
| LiveScore Bet | Away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 21.2% |
| Paddy Power | Home | 1.67 | 59.9% | 55.9% |
| Paddy Power | Draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 23.3% |
| Paddy Power | Away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 20.7% |
| Sky Bet | Home | 1.67 | 59.9% | 55.9% |
| Sky Bet | Draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 23.3% |
| Sky Bet | Away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 20.7% |
| Smarkets | Home | 1.58 | 63.3% | 54.4% |
| Smarkets | Draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 24.6% |
| Smarkets | Away | 4.10 | 24.4% | 21.0% |
| Unibet (UK) | Home | 1.67 | 59.9% | 55.2% |
| Unibet (UK) | Draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.3% |
| Unibet (UK) | Away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 20.5% |
| Virgin Bet | Home | 1.72 | 58.1% | 54.2% |
| Virgin Bet | Draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.6% |
| Virgin Bet | Away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 21.2% |
Odds movement timeline
72 captures| Captured UTC | Bookmaker | Outcome | Odds | Marker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:21:37 | Unibet (UK) | Away | 4.50 | update |
| 07:21:37 | Unibet (UK) | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 07:21:37 | Unibet (UK) | Home | 1.67 | update |
| 07:21:27 | Smarkets | Away | 4.10 | update |
| 07:21:27 | Smarkets | Draw | 3.50 | update |
| 07:21:27 | Smarkets | Home | 1.58 | update |
| 07:21:26 | LiveScore Bet | Away | 4.40 | update |
| 07:21:26 | LiveScore Bet | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 07:21:26 | LiveScore Bet | Home | 1.72 | update |
| 07:21:26 | Betfred (UK) | Away | 4.60 | update |
| 07:21:26 | Betfred (UK) | Draw | 4.00 | update |
| 07:21:26 | Betfred (UK) | Home | 1.70 | update |
| 07:21:04 | Betfair | Away | 1.06 | update |
| 07:21:04 | Betfair | Draw | 1.01 | update |
| 07:21:04 | Betfair | Home | 1.06 | update |
| 07:21:02 | Paddy Power | Away | 4.50 | update |
| 07:21:02 | Paddy Power | Draw | 4.00 | update |
| 07:21:02 | Paddy Power | Home | 1.67 | update |
| 07:20:40 | Sky Bet | Away | 4.50 | update |
| 07:20:40 | Sky Bet | Draw | 4.00 | update |
| 07:20:40 | Sky Bet | Home | 1.67 | update |
| 07:20:37 | Virgin Bet | Away | 4.40 | update |
| 07:20:37 | Virgin Bet | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 07:20:37 | Virgin Bet | Home | 1.72 | update |
| 07:20:37 | Grosvenor | Away | 4.40 | update |
| 07:20:37 | Grosvenor | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 07:20:37 | Grosvenor | Home | 1.72 | update |
| 07:20:36 | LeoVegas | Away | 4.33 | update |
| 07:20:36 | LeoVegas | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 07:20:36 | LeoVegas | Home | 1.64 | update |
| 16:19:44 | Betfair | Away | 1.06 | update |
| 16:19:44 | Betfair | Draw | 1.01 | update |
| 16:19:44 | Betfair | Home | 1.06 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Smarkets | Away | 3.95 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Smarkets | Draw | 3.45 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Smarkets | Home | 1.61 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Unibet (UK) | Away | 4.35 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Unibet (UK) | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Unibet (UK) | Home | 1.70 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Sky Bet | Away | 4.50 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Sky Bet | Draw | 4.00 | update |
| 16:19:43 | Sky Bet | Home | 1.67 | update |
| 16:19:42 | LiveScore Bet | Away | 4.40 | update |
| 16:19:42 | LiveScore Bet | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 16:19:42 | LiveScore Bet | Home | 1.72 | update |
| 16:19:16 | Virgin Bet | Away | 4.40 | update |
| 16:19:16 | Virgin Bet | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 16:19:16 | Virgin Bet | Home | 1.72 | update |
| 16:19:15 | Grosvenor | Away | 4.40 | update |
| 16:19:15 | Grosvenor | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 16:19:15 | Grosvenor | Home | 1.72 | update |
| 16:19:15 | Betfred (UK) | Away | 4.60 | update |
| 16:19:15 | Betfred (UK) | Draw | 4.00 | update |
| 16:19:15 | Betfred (UK) | Home | 1.70 | update |
| 16:19:14 | LeoVegas | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 16:19:14 | LeoVegas | Draw | 3.75 | update |
| 16:19:14 | LeoVegas | Home | 1.64 | update |
| 16:19:13 | Paddy Power | Away | 4.50 | update |
| 16:19:13 | Paddy Power | Draw | 4.00 | update |
| 16:19:13 | Paddy Power | Home | 1.67 | update |
| 04:14:59 | Betfair | Away | 1.06 | update |
| 04:14:59 | Betfair | Draw | 1.01 | update |
| 04:14:59 | Betfair | Home | 1.06 | update |
| 04:14:58 | Paddy Power | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 04:14:58 | Paddy Power | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 04:14:58 | Paddy Power | Home | 1.75 | update |
| 04:14:57 | Sky Bet | Away | 4.00 | update |
| 04:14:57 | Sky Bet | Draw | 3.80 | update |
| 04:14:57 | Sky Bet | Home | 1.75 | update |
| 04:14:56 | Betfred (UK) | Away | 4.20 | update |
| 04:14:56 | Betfred (UK) | Draw | 3.75 | update |
| 04:14:56 | Betfred (UK) | Home | 1.80 | update |