Quantitative football market analytics
Find the price that disagrees with the market.
A production reconstruction of the 2017 BeatTheBookie method, preserving its original expected-payoff rule and comparing it with a de-vigged, robust 2026 consensus.
Candidate signals146
Strong / moderate58
Bookmakers observed22
Highest anomaly100
Ranked market signals
View all matches →| Match | Kickoff | Pick | Best price | Consensus | Edge | EV | Anomaly | Confidence | Source | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina — NapoliSerie A · 15 books | 20 Sep · 10:30 UTC | AWAY | 2.34Betfair | 43.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 100 | 94 | Live | Inspect → |
| TSG Hoffenheim — VfB StuttgartBundesliga · 21 books | 12 Sep · 13:30 UTC | AWAY | 2.80Matchbook | 35.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 100 | 98 | Live | Inspect → |
| Besiktas JK — MarseilleUEFA Europa League · 19 books | 17 Sep · 19:00 UTC | DRAW | 4.30Matchbook | 24.5% | 1.3% | 5.5% | 100 | 97 | Live | Inspect → |
| Strasbourg — AS MonacoLigue 1 · 20 books | 12 Sep · 15:15 UTC | HOME | 3.35Betfair | 31.0% | 1.2% | 4.0% | 100 | 97 | Live | Inspect → |
| Manchester City — SunderlandPremier League · 15 books | 20 Sep · 13:00 UTC | DRAW | 6.40Betfair | 17.1% | 1.4% | 9.1% | 100 | 92 | Live | Inspect → |
| Coventry City — Brighton and Hove AlbionPremier League · 21 books | 13 Sep · 13:00 UTC | AWAY | 1.97Matchbook | 50.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 100 | 98 | Live | Inspect → |
| Werder Bremen — AugsburgBundesliga · 17 books | 19 Sep · 13:30 UTC | DRAW | 4.00Betfred (UK) | 25.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 100 | 98 | Live | Inspect → |
| Viktoria Plzeň — Union Saint-GilloiseUEFA Europa League · 19 books | 17 Sep · 19:00 UTC | HOME | 2.62Betfair | 38.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 100 | 98 | Live | Inspect → |